Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Ray Goff vs Cam Nelson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Billy Ray GoffNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Cam NelsonNow 1627
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1478 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.51
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.75
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Billy Ray GoffCam Nelson
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
2 (22%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Billy Ray Goff and Cam Nelson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Billy Ray Goff enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cam Nelson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Cam Nelson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.