Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Ray Goff vs Joe Ray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Ray
us

Joe Ray

“Florida Boy”

14-6-0WelterweightKLF

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach75.00"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dexter MMATeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Billy Ray GoffNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Joe RayNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
59%
Strike defense
52%
2.01
Takedown avg.
1.45
18%
Takedown accuracy
42%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Billy Ray GoffJoe Ray
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (29%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Billy Ray Goff56%
Joe Ray 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Billy Ray Goff a 56% favorite over Joe Ray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Ray's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.

Billy Ray Goff enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Ray enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Joe Ray 93%.

Joe Ray carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.