Billy Ray Goff vs Khamzat Abaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+24→ 1655
If they lose-24→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Billy Ray GoffKhamzat Abaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Abaev51%
Billy Ray Goff 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 51% favorite over Billy Ray Goff in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1631), separated by just 2 points.
Billy Ray Goff enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Abaev 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.