Billy Ray Goff vs Ty Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record7-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
72"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dexter MMATeamFit NHB
What's at stake
Ty Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Billy Ray Goff carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1651
If they lose-15→ 1619
If they win+23→ 1677
If they lose-25→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Billy Ray GoffTy Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ty Miller62%
Billy Ray Goff 38%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 62% favorite over Billy Ray Goff in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ty Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1634, a 20-point edge.
Billy Ray Goff enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ty Miller enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 43%.
Ty Miller carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.