Billy Ray Goff vs Ty Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
72"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dexter MMATeamFit NHB· 1627 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Ty Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Billy Ray Goff carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1646
If they lose-14→ 1614
If they win+20→ 1702
If they lose-28→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Billy Ray GoffTy Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ty Miller60%
Billy Ray Goff 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 60% favorite over Billy Ray Goff in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Ty Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1628, a 54-point edge.
Billy Ray Goff enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ty Miller enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Billy Ray Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 50%.
Ty Miller carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.