Combat Edge Intelligence

Bin Xie vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bin Xie
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Bin Xie

“The Stalker”

12-4-0FeatherweightRUFC

1645Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tianjin Top TeamTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bin XieNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Thiago TavaresNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.87
Sig. strikes / min
2
48%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
59%
Strike defense
63%
2.15
Takedown avg.
3.83
36%
Takedown accuracy
43%
40%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Bin XieThiago Tavares
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
4 (33%)
Submission
15 (63%)
5 (42%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Bin Xie70%
Thiago Tavares 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bin Xie a 70% favorite over Thiago Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1645), separated by just 0 points.

Bin Xie finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.