BJ Penn vs Georges St-Pierre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-2Record26-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach76"
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — BJ Penn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1633
If they lose-6→ 1609
If they win+6→ 1801
If they lose-18→ 1777
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
BJ PennGeorges St-Pierre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Georges St-Pierre84%
BJ Penn 16%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 84% favorite over BJ Penn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1615, a 180-point edge.
BJ Penn enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
BJ Penn finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Georges St-Pierre 54%.
BJ Penn and Georges St-Pierre share 2 common opponents: Nick Diaz and Jon Fitch.
Georges St-Pierre carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.