BJ Penn vs Jose Mendez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-14-2Record9-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamSpokane Valley BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1478 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
BJ PennJose Mendez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Mendez70%
BJ Penn 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Mendez a 70% favorite over BJ Penn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans BJ Penn's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.
BJ Penn enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
BJ Penn finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jose Mendez 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.