BJ Penn vs Kenny Florian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-2Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamFlorian Martial Arts Center
What's at stake
Kenny Florian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — BJ Penn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-18→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
BJ PennKenny Florian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
BJ Penn55%
Kenny Florian 45%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes BJ Penn a 55% favorite over Kenny Florian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kenny Florian's way (43%).
Kenny Florian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1615, a 46-point edge.
BJ Penn enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
BJ Penn finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Kenny Florian 86%.
BJ Penn and Kenny Florian share 1 common opponent: Clay Guida.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.