BJ Penn vs Ryan Hall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-2Record9-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeam50-50 BJJ
What's at stake
Ryan Hall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — BJ Penn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605
If they win+14→ 1679
If they lose-18→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
BJ PennRyan Hall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Hall75%
BJ Penn 25%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hall a 75% favorite over BJ Penn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Ryan Hall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1615, a 50-point edge.
BJ Penn enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
BJ Penn finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Hall 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.