BJ Penn vs Sean Sherk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-2Record36-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Sean Sherk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — BJ Penn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-8→ 1607
If they win+8→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
BJ PennSean Sherk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
BJ Penn54%
Sean Sherk 46%Elo baseline: 35%
The Combat Edge model makes BJ Penn a 54% favorite over Sean Sherk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Sherk's way (35%).
Sean Sherk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1615, a 107-point edge.
BJ Penn enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Sean Sherk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
BJ Penn finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Sean Sherk 58%.
BJ Penn and Sean Sherk share 2 common opponents: Frankie Edgar and Nick Diaz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.