Blagoy Ivanov vs Derrick Lewis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record29-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
73"Reach79"
258 lbsWeight264 lbs
SK Absolute BulgariaTeamMain Street Boxing & Muay Thai
What's at stake
Derrick Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Blagoy Ivanov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1669
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-14→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Blagoy IvanovDerrick Lewis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis76%
Blagoy Ivanov 24%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 76% favorite over Blagoy Ivanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Derrick Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1682, a 62-point edge.
Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Blagoy Ivanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Derrick Lewis 86%.
Blagoy Ivanov and Derrick Lewis share 2 common opponents: Marcos Rogerio de Lima and Tai Tuivasa.
Derrick Lewis carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.