Blagoy Ivanov vs Marcin Tybura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record27-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
73"Reach78"
258 lbsWeight247 lbs
SK Absolute BulgariaTeamAnkos MMA
What's at stake
Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Blagoy Ivanov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1700
If they lose-14→ 1668
If they win+11→ 1732
If they lose-13→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Blagoy IvanovMarcin Tybura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Tybura70%
Blagoy Ivanov 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 70% favorite over Blagoy Ivanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1682, a 39-point edge.
Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Blagoy Ivanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.
Blagoy Ivanov and Marcin Tybura share 2 common opponents: Alexandr Romanov and Tai Tuivasa.
Marcin Tybura carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.