Blagoy Ivanov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record22-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight262 lbs
SK Absolute BulgariaTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Blagoy IvanovMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rogerio de Lima52%
Blagoy Ivanov 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 52% favorite over Blagoy Ivanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Blagoy Ivanov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1672), separated by just 10 points.
Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Blagoy Ivanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.
Blagoy Ivanov and Marcos Rogerio de Lima share 3 common opponents: Alexandr Romanov, Derrick Lewis and Ben Rothwell.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.