Combat Edge Intelligence

Blagoy Ivanov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record22-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight262 lbs
SK Absolute BulgariaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Blagoy IvanovNow 1683
If they win+15→ 1698
If they lose-17→ 1666
Marcos Rogerio de LimaNow 1672
If they win+17→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
41%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.69
Takedown avg.
1.40
40%
Takedown accuracy
46%
62%
Takedown defense
59%
0.12
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Blagoy IvanovMarcos Rogerio de Lima
1600165017001750202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
6 (32%)
Submission
3 (14%)
7 (37%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Blagoy Ivanov54%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima 46%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Blagoy Ivanov a 54% favorite over Marcos Rogerio de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1672), separated by just 11 points.

Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Blagoy Ivanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.

Blagoy Ivanov and Marcos Rogerio de Lima share 3 common opponents: Alexandr Romanov, Derrick Lewis and Ben Rothwell.

Marcos Rogerio de Lima carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision (split) · 2019
Derrick Lewis
LossKO/TKO · 2023
WinDEC · 2019
Ben Rothwell
WinTKO · 2021
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Alexandr Romanov
LossSubmission · 2020