Blagoy Ivanov vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
73"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight265 lbs
SK Absolute BulgariaTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Blagoy Ivanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1695
If they lose-19→ 1663
If they win+19→ 1630
If they lose-13→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Blagoy IvanovTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa56%
Blagoy Ivanov 44%Elo baseline: 40%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 56% favorite over Blagoy Ivanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Blagoy Ivanov's way (40%).
Blagoy Ivanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1611, a 71-point edge.
Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Blagoy Ivanov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Blagoy Ivanov and Tai Tuivasa share 3 common opponents: Marcin Tybura, Augusto Sakai and Derrick Lewis.
Tai Tuivasa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.