Blake Bilder vs Koji Takeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-1Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach68"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Spartan Martial ArtsTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Blake BilderKoji Takeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Koji Takeda62%
Blake Bilder 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 62% favorite over Blake Bilder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.
Blake Bilder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Blake Bilder finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Koji Takeda 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.