Blake Bilder vs Shane Young
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-1Record13-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
Spartan Martial ArtsTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Blake Bilder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Shane Young carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-18→ 1619
If they win+18→ 1601
If they lose-14→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Blake BilderShane Young
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Blake Bilder60%
Shane Young 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Blake Bilder a 60% favorite over Shane Young in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Blake Bilder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1583, a 54-point edge.
Blake Bilder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shane Young enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Blake Bilder finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shane Young 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.