Blake Bowman vs Gustavo García
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-7-0Record1-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight152 lbs
American Top TeamTeam
What's at stake
Gustavo García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Blake Bowman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1403
If they lose-21→ 1355
If they win+21→ 1440
If they lose-27→ 1392
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Blake BowmanGustavo García
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo García59%
Blake Bowman 41%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo García a 59% favorite over Blake Bowman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Gustavo García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1419 to 1376, a 43-point edge.
Blake Bowman enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.