Blas Avena vs Lucas Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record5-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight177 lbs
Machado Jiu JitsuTeamThe King Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
If they win+24→ 1552
If they lose-24→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Blas AvenaLucas Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Blas Avena55%
Lucas Silva 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Blas Avena a 55% favorite over Lucas Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1528), separated by just 1 points.
Blas Avena finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Silva 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.