Combat Edge Intelligence

Blas Avena vs Quadarrius McGinnis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record3-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Machado Jiu JitsuTeamSpartan Fitness MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Blas AvenaNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
Quadarrius McGinnisNow 1527
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.34
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
43%
Strike defense
Not available
2.37
Takedown avg.
Not available
80%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.78
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Blas AvenaQuadarrius McGinnis
15001550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
6 (75%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Blas Avena51%
Quadarrius McGinnis 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Blas Avena a 51% favorite over Quadarrius McGinnis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1527), separated by just 0 points.

Blas Avena finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Quadarrius McGinnis 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.