Combat Edge Intelligence

Blas Avena vs Will Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Will Davis
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Will Davis

“The Famous”

3-2-0WelterweightLFA

1523Average

Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record3-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Machado Jiu JitsuTeamDerby City MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Blas AvenaNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
Will DavisNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.34
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
2.37
Takedown avg.
TBD
80%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.78
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Blas AvenaWill Davis
1550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
6 (75%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Will Davis60%
Blas Avena 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Will Davis a 60% favorite over Blas Avena in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Blas Avena's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1523), separated by just 4 points.

Blas Avena finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Will Davis 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.