Bo Meng vs Carla Esparza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-8-0Record19-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'1"
62.5"Reach63"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamTeam Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bo MengCarla Esparza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bo Meng51%
Carla Esparza 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Bo Meng a 51% favorite over Carla Esparza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carla Esparza's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1657), separated by just 4 points.
Bo Meng enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carla Esparza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bo Meng finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Carla Esparza 42%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.