Bo Meng vs Machi Fukuda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record11-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'0"
62.5"Reach61"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamFreelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Machi Fukuda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bo Meng carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1655
If they lose-11→ 1631
If they win+15→ 1688
If they lose-17→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bo MengMachi Fukuda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Machi Fukuda59%
Bo Meng 41%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Machi Fukuda a 59% favorite over Bo Meng in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Machi Fukuda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1642, a 31-point edge.
Machi Fukuda enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Bo Meng finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Machi Fukuda 64%.
Bo Meng and Machi Fukuda share 1 common opponent: Arisa Matsuda.
Bo Meng carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
LossDecision (Split) · 2023