Combat Edge Intelligence

Bob Gilstrap vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1491Average

Tale of the tape

5-7-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
210 lbsWeight246 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bob GilstrapNow 1477
If they win+17→ 1494
If they lose-15→ 1462
Ryo SakaiNow 1491
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bob GilstrapRyo Sakai
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai83%
Bob Gilstrap 17%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 83% favorite over Bob Gilstrap in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1477 vs 1491), separated by just 14 points.

Bob Gilstrap enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bob Gilstrap finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.