Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Escalante vs Shunichi Shimizu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-6-0Record35-28-10
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamPolar Gym Osaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby EscalanteNow 1499
If they win+16→ 1515
If they lose-16→ 1483
Shunichi ShimizuNow 1497
If they win+12→ 1509
If they lose-12→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bobby EscalanteShunichi Shimizu
150020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (12%)
4 (80%)
Submission
19 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Bobby Escalante66%
Shunichi Shimizu 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bobby Escalante a 66% favorite over Shunichi Shimizu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1497), separated by just 2 points.

Bobby Escalante finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shunichi Shimizu 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.