Bobby Hoffman vs Josh Barnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-10-1Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach78,0"
245 lbsWeight248 lbs
Universal Grappling AcademyTeamUWF USA
What's at stake
Josh Barnett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Bobby Hoffman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1699
If they lose-9→ 1675
If they win+9→ 1786
If they lose-15→ 1762
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bobby HoffmanJosh Barnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Barnett83%
Bobby Hoffman 17%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Barnett a 83% favorite over Bobby Hoffman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Josh Barnett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1684, a 93-point edge.
Bobby Hoffman enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bobby Hoffman finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Josh Barnett 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.