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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Hoffman vs Maurice Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

36-10-1Record12-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
245 lbsWeight206 lbs
Universal Grappling AcademyTeamThe Alliance

What's at stake

Bobby Hoffman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Maurice Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bobby HoffmanNow 1684
If they win+7→ 1691
If they lose-17→ 1667
Maurice SmithNow 1546
If they win+17→ 1563
If they lose-7→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.02
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
70%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.47
19%
Strike defense
60%
1.17
Takedown avg.
0.89
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
20%
1.17
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Bobby HoffmanMaurice Smith
155016001650170017502004200520062007200820092010201120122013

Win method breakdown

23 (64%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
6 (17%)
Submission
2 (17%)
7 (19%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Bobby Hoffman71%
Maurice Smith 29%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Bobby Hoffman a 71% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Bobby Hoffman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1546, a 138-point edge.

Bobby Hoffman enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bobby Hoffman finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.