Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Lashley vs Jovan Leka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record14-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach75"
241 lbsWeight259 lbs
American Top Team AltitudeTeamFamily Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby LashleyNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Jovan LekaNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
75%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.60
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Bobby LashleyJovan Leka
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
6 (40%)
Submission
4 (29%)
3 (20%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Jovan Leka66%
Bobby Lashley 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Leka a 66% favorite over Bobby Lashley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bobby Lashley's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Bobby Lashley enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Jovan Leka enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Bobby Lashley finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jovan Leka 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.