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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Lashley vs Ryan Spann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Spann
us

Ryan Spann

“Superman”

24-12-0HeavyweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record24-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
TBDReach79"
241 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team AltitudeTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby LashleyNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Ryan SpannNow 1696
If they win+12→ 1708
If they lose-12→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.11
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.21
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
59%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.66

Trajectory

Bobby LashleyRyan Spann
165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
6 (40%)
Submission
14 (58%)
3 (20%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Spann75%
Bobby Lashley 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 75% favorite over Bobby Lashley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1696), separated by just 1 points.

Bobby Lashley enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Bobby Lashley finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.