Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Nash vs Danny Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Bobby Nash
us

Bobby Nash

“Nashty”

12-5-0WelterweightBFC

1609Solid
Danny Roberts

Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fit NHBTeamTeam McHale

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby NashNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
38%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
51%
Strike defense
51%
2.37
Takedown avg.
0.24
33%
Takedown accuracy
10%
100%
Takedown defense
58%
1.58
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Bobby NashDanny Roberts
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
4 (33%)
Submission
5 (28%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Bobby Nash61%
Danny Roberts 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Bobby Nash a 61% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Roberts's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1617), separated by just 8 points.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bobby Nash finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Danny Roberts 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.