Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Voelker vs Lance Benoist

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-15-0Record7-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamSt. Charles MMA

What's at stake

Bobby Voelker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lance Benoist carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bobby VoelkerNow 1658
If they win+11→ 1669
If they lose-13→ 1645
Lance BenoistNow 1622
If they win+18→ 1640
If they lose-14→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.68
35%
Strike accuracy
51%
6.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
42%
Strike defense
57%
1.19
Takedown avg.
1.50
50%
Takedown accuracy
33%
67%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bobby VoelkerLance Benoist
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

27 (79%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (57%)
7 (21%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Lance Benoist61%
Bobby Voelker 39%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Lance Benoist a 61% favorite over Bobby Voelker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bobby Voelker's way (45%).

Bobby Voelker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1622, a 36-point edge.

Bobby Voelker finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Lance Benoist 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.