Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Voelker vs Robbie Lawler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-15-0Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Robbie Lawler is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bobby Voelker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bobby VoelkerNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-8→ 1650
Robbie LawlerNow 1788
If they win+8→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1772

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1760 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
35%
Strike accuracy
47%
6.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.67
42%
Strike defense
59%
1.19
Takedown avg.
0.65
50%
Takedown accuracy
64%
67%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bobby VoelkerRobbie Lawler
1650170017501800202120222023

Win method breakdown

27 (79%)
KO/TKO
22 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (3%)
7 (21%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Robbie Lawler83%
Bobby Voelker 17%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Robbie Lawler a 83% favorite over Bobby Voelker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Robbie Lawler holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1658, a 130-point edge.

Bobby Voelker finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.