Bogdan Guskov vs Iwo Baraniewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-1Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAligatores Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
If they win+24→ 1740
If they lose-24→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovIwo Baraniewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski51%
Bogdan Guskov 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 51% favorite over Bogdan Guskov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bogdan Guskov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1716), separated by just 3 points.
Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.
Bogdan Guskov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.