Bogdan Guskov vs Jason Brilz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-1Record23-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1706 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamElite Performance
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovJason Brilz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bogdan Guskov68%
Jason Brilz 32%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 68% favorite over Jason Brilz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1714), separated by just 5 points.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jason Brilz 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.