Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Guskov vs Khabib Nabiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-4-1Record12-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GuskovNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Khabib NabievNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bogdan GuskovKhabib Nabiev
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (42%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bogdan Guskov and Khabib Nabiev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1723), separated by just 4 points.

Khabib Nabiev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Khabib Nabiev 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.