Bogdan Guskov vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-1Record20-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMATeamGorets Fight Club
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Bogdan Guskov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1754
If they lose-11→ 1722
If they win+11→ 1846
If they lose-21→ 1814
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1723 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev70%
Bogdan Guskov 30%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 70% favorite over Bogdan Guskov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1835 to 1733, a 102-point edge.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 50%.
Bogdan Guskov and Magomed Ankalaev share 3 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz, Nikita Krylov and Volkan Oezdemir.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.