Bogdan Guskov vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-1Record21-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Bogdan Guskov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1741
If they lose-10→ 1709
If they win+10→ 1858
If they lose-22→ 1826
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev80%
Bogdan Guskov 20%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 80% favorite over Bogdan Guskov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1719, a 129-point edge.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.
Bogdan Guskov and Magomed Ankalaev share 3 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz, Nikita Krylov and Volkan Oezdemir.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.