Bogdan Guskov vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-1Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
What's at stake
Bogdan Guskov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1734
If they lose-17→ 1702
If they win+13→ 1703
If they lose-11→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov58%
Bogdan Guskov 42%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 58% favorite over Bogdan Guskov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bogdan Guskov's way (46%).
Bogdan Guskov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1690, a 29-point edge.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Bogdan Guskov and Nikita Krylov share 3 common opponents: Magomed Ankalaev, Ryan Spann and Volkan Oezdemir.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.