Bogdan Guskov vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-1Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
What's at stake
Bogdan Guskov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1734
If they lose-17→ 1702
If they win+13→ 1704
If they lose-11→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bogdan Guskov61%
Nikita Krylov 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 61% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Bogdan Guskov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1691, a 28-point edge.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Bogdan Guskov and Nikita Krylov share 3 common opponents: Magomed Ankalaev, Ryan Spann and Volkan Oezdemir.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.