Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Guskov vs Phil Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Davis
us

Phil Davis

“Mr. Wonderful”

24-7-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record24-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMATeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GuskovNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717
Phil DavisNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
51%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.39
50%
Strike defense
72%
0
Takedown avg.
2.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
50%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Bogdan GuskovPhil Davis
16501700175020242025

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
6 (25%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Guskov69%
Phil Davis 31%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 69% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Davis's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1739), separated by just 6 points.

Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Phil Davis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.