Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Guskov vs Randy Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randy Couture
us

Randy Couture

“The Natural”

19-11-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

18-4-1Record19-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight203 lbs
GOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GuskovNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Randy CoutureNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.85
51%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.53
50%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
2.78
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
50%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Bogdan GuskovRandy Couture
165017001750200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
3 (17%)
Submission
4 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Guskov60%
Randy Couture 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 60% favorite over Randy Couture in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Randy Couture's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1721), separated by just 2 points.

Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.