Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Guskov vs Rasul Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-4-1Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GuskovNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Rasul MagomedovNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bogdan GuskovRasul Magomedov
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (17%)
Submission
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bogdan Guskov and Rasul Magomedov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1717), separated by just 2 points.

Rasul Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 60%.

Bogdan Guskov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.