Bogdan Guskov vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record24-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Bogdan Guskov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ryan Spann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1748
If they lose-17→ 1716
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-11→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bogdan Guskov56%
Ryan Spann 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 56% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Bogdan Guskov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1710, a 23-point edge.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Bogdan Guskov and Ryan Spann share 1 common opponent: Nikita Krylov.
Ryan Spann carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.