Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Guskov vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
GOR MMATeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GuskovNow 1733
If they win+15→ 1748
If they lose-17→ 1716
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+17→ 1736
If they lose-15→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
50%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
50%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Bogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
16501700175020242025

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
3 (17%)
Submission
2 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Guskov60%
Volkan Oezdemir 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 60% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1719), separated by just 14 points.

Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Bogdan Guskov and Volkan Oezdemir share 1 common opponent: Nikita Krylov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2025
Nikita Krylov
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022