Bojan Veličković vs Jake Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-2Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamNexus
What's at stake
Jake Matthews is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bojan Veličković carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-8→ 1633
If they win+8→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bojan VeličkovićJake Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Matthews88%
Bojan Veličković 12%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 88% favorite over Bojan Veličković in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Jake Matthews holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1641, a 112-point edge.
Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.
Bojan Veličković carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.