Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Joshua Burkman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joshua Burkman
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Joshua Burkman

“The People's Warrior”

28-18-0LightweightLFA

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record28-18-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach39,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Joshua BurkmanNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
35%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
58%
Strike defense
52%
0.67
Takedown avg.
2.53
25%
Takedown accuracy
37%
55%
Takedown defense
73%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićJoshua Burkman
160016501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
7 (25%)
11 (44%)
Submission
10 (36%)
6 (24%)
Decision
11 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Bojan Veličković68%
Joshua Burkman 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bojan Veličković a 68% favorite over Joshua Burkman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.

Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.