Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Mike Graves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record11-2-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Mike GravesNow 1657
If they win+15→ 1672
If they lose-17→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
35%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
58%
Strike defense
59%
0.67
Takedown avg.
4.80
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
67%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićMike Graves
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
11 (44%)
Submission
3 (27%)
6 (24%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Graves66%
Bojan Veličković 34%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Graves a 66% favorite over Bojan Veličković in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1657), separated by just 11 points.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Mike Graves 73%.

Bojan Veličković carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.