Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Nico Musoke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach75.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Bojan Veličković is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nico Musoke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1645
If they win+9→ 1654
If they lose-15→ 1630
Nico MusokeNow 1561
If they win+20→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
35%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
58%
Strike defense
58%
0.67
Takedown avg.
1.16
25%
Takedown accuracy
19%
55%
Takedown defense
82%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićNico Musoke
150015501600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
11 (44%)
Submission
5 (31%)
6 (24%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Bojan Veličković66%
Nico Musoke 34%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Bojan Veličković a 66% favorite over Nico Musoke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Bojan Veličković holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1561, a 84-point edge.

Nico Musoke enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nico Musoke 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.