Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Tim Means

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Means
us

Tim Means

“The Dirty Bird”

33-17-1WelterweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Tim MeansNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
35%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
58%
Strike defense
60%
0.67
Takedown avg.
1.14
25%
Takedown accuracy
40%
55%
Takedown defense
65%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićTim Means
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
20 (61%)
11 (44%)
Submission
5 (15%)
6 (24%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Bojan Veličković66%
Tim Means 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bojan Veličković a 66% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Means's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.