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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bokang Masunyane vs Chris Cariaso

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'1"Height5'3"
63"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamFight and Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bokang MasunyaneNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Chris CariasoNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
Not available
Strike defense
61%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.11
Not available
Takedown accuracy
39%
Not available
Takedown defense
58%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Bokang MasunyaneChris Cariaso
165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (12%)
9 (82%)
Decision
12 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Bokang Masunyane57%
Chris Cariaso 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bokang Masunyane a 57% favorite over Chris Cariaso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Cariaso's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.

Chris Cariaso enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bokang Masunyane finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Chris Cariaso 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.