Bolaji Oki vs Shane Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Da Vinci FightingTeamBJ Penn's MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bolaji OkiShane Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bolaji Oki70%
Shane Nelson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bolaji Oki a 70% favorite over Shane Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.
Bolaji Oki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bolaji Oki finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Shane Nelson 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.