Combat Edge Intelligence

Borena Tsertsvadze vs Melissa Gatto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record9-3-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach69"
132 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Borena TsertsvadzeNow 1579
If they win+23→ 1602
If they lose-25→ 1554
Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+25→ 1596
If they lose-23→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
3%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Borena TsertsvadzeMelissa Gatto
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
1 (17%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Borena Tsertsvadze and Melissa Gatto within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1571), separated by just 8 points.

Borena Tsertsvadze enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Borena Tsertsvadze finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Gatto 78%.

Melissa Gatto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.