Combat Edge Intelligence

Borena Tsertsvadze vs Poliana Botelho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record9-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach67"
132 lbsWeight125 lbs
Memete Fight ClubTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Borena TsertsvadzeNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Poliana BotelhoNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Borena TsertsvadzePoliana Botelho
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Borena Tsertsvadze56%
Poliana Botelho 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Borena Tsertsvadze a 56% favorite over Poliana Botelho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1575), separated by just 4 points.

Borena Tsertsvadze enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Borena Tsertsvadze finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Poliana Botelho 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.